Tropical moisture south of a fizzling frontal trough in the Gulf of Mexico Friday will return northward this weekend, yielding the obligatory scattered, primarily afternoon, showers and thunderstorms.
High pressure that moved into the area Friday reducing the number of showers in the area, will retreat back to the north this weekend opening the door for scattered storms.
Look for rain chances in the 50/50 range or better this weekend, with the pattern likely lasting for much of the week ahead.
At least, with the better chance of scattered showers and storms, daytime highs will likely be limited to the upper 80s to lower 90s, so we should be done with the recent afternoon heat indices exceeding 105-110 degrees.
Next week promises slightly better than normal chances of scattered showers and storms each an every day through the end of the week.
Meanwhile in the tropics, there are no major suspect areas with just a few disorganized tropical waves and plenty of African Dust pushing westward through the Atlantic.
Long range Euro and GFS forecasts however, continue to insist on bringing a slug of deep tropical moisture in the Gulf of Mexico mid-late next week with this moisture possibly heading for Louisiana into the following weekend.
While models currently do not favor any significant tropical development at this time, conditions might be a little more receptive for a track-able disturbance that could add to the threat of some heavier rains next weekend.
We'll continue to keep an eye on this potential feature and future model trends......but no worries for now.