WeatherTodays Forecast

Actions

Rain chances slightly elevated this weekend; All eyes on the tropics

Posted at 10:30 PM, Sep 11, 2020

Scattered storms will be possible late Saturday afternoon and into the early evening time frame in response to an inverted trough that will be moving along our coastline.

It will not be raining all day long, in fact, partly to mostly sunny skies can be expected through the morning and at least parts of the afternoon.

High temperatures will top out in the lower 90s and rain chances will sit at 60%. Any storms that do get going tomorrow afternoon will be capable of producing heavy rainfall.

Similar set-up is anticipated for Sunday, although rain chances will sit closer to 50%. High temperatures will once again settle into the lower 90s.

Not a washout of a weekend, but scattered storms will be around, so make sure to keep that rain gear close by.

The rest of the 10-day is heavily dependent on the tropics and the progression of Tropical Depression Nineteen. Be sure to check out the tropics discussion below. Have a great weekend, y'all!

In the tropics: We continue to closely monitor Tropical Depression Nineteen this evening as it tracks toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Very warm Gulf waters coupled with relatively low wind shear values should support gradual strengthening of the storm over the course of the weekend.

It is forecasted to reach the upper northern Gulf Coast early next week as either a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane. It is important to remember that the intensity forecast is always tricky to nail down.

Now once the system approaches the northern Gulf Coast, upper-level steering currents are forecasted to break down a bit which could lead the storm to stall out or slowly drift westward with time.

This would likely lead to very heavy and high rainfall amounts for SOMEONE along the Gulf Coast.

With the current forecast track of the storm per the Hurricane Center, the worst of the impacts and heaviest rainfall totals would actually set up just to our east.

That does not mean we should let our guard down, especially when we are faced with these very tricky and uncertain steering currents down the line.

We will of course continue to watch this system closely and provide you all with updates as they become available.

For now, nothing to panic about...