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More early evening storms…elevated rain chances stay this weekend

Posted: 4:45 PM, Jun 28, 2019
Updated: 2019-06-28 23:27:47-04

Active showers and storms are once again in the short-term forecast for Acadiana Friday evening, with some storms producing locally intense downpours, gusty winds, perhaps some pea-size hail, and plenty of lightning.

The main instigator will be a disturbance aloft that will be moving southward while deeper tropical moisture pushes westward across the area. Activity will diminish by 9-10 pm.

Latest Doppler Radar:

 

Better than normal atmospheric moisture levels will stay with us this weekend with a good chance of scattered showers and storms continuing this weekend.

The onset of storms should be a little earlier Saturday with activity anytime after noon through the early evening hours.

Thanks to the earlier onset of clouds and showers, temperatures will top out in the upper 80s to near 90 Saturday.

Much the same can be said for Sunday, with perhaps a slightly earlier onset of showers and storms anytime from mid-morning into the afternoon hours.

More activity is expected than currently indicated by FutureCast for this time period

There is the chance that quieter conditions and some sunshine could return for late Sunday afternoon into the early evening hours.

Temperatures Sunday will top out in the mid-upper 80s once again.

Moving into next week, it appears that our rain chances should decrease down to about 20% Monday, before increasing back to the 40% range late Tuesday into Wednesday as a large slug of westward- moving tropical moisture grazes the region on the way to Texas.

The 4th of July is still looking somewhat drier and certainly hotter with highs in the mid-90s, accompanied by heat indices in the 104-107 degree range.

Latest Long Range Models:

 

Rain chances next Thursday should be 20% or less, followed by a tropical easterly wave increasing our rain chances briefly Friday.

At this point, next weekend looks hot and mostly dry with temperatures firmly planted in the mid-90s along with heat indices in the 105-108 degree range.

See the KATC 10 Day Forecas t for the latest.