Acadiana's severe weather season is starting to pick up and this weekend looks like we're on the hook for round of very intense weather, with severe storms moving through on Sunday.
Storm Prediction Center has already posted some very strong wording for Acadiana, putting us in an area for an Enhanced Risk for severe weather, and a Moderate Risk for the area directly to our north-east.
It's important to not get caught up where the moderate versus the enhanced areas are and think because it may be worse elsewhere that it won't be bad here, the truth is that an enhanced risk is fairly rare in south Louisiana (especially three days out).
Those who are unsure about the wording from the SPC it's easiest to think of it on a scale of 1-5, we currently sit at a 3 and just to our north that is upped to a 4.
Saturday is going to be the set up day with winds shifting dramatically to come out of the south and bring plenty of moisture into the area, leading to a quick warm up and a destabilizing of the atmosphere.
Isolated storms will be possible on Saturday evening, with a few of those storms capable of becoming severe and producing both damaging winds and hail, but the storms should wind down after sunset and we lose the energy from daytime heating.
The main event then arrives on Sunday with storms expected to arrive in the afternoon and all modes of severe weather will need to be watched for including the possibility for violent, long track tornadoes.
Isolated storms that develop out ahead of the main line will have the potential to become rotating supercell storms which would lead to both large hail and tornadoes, then once the main line swings through it will evolve into more of a straight line wind event.
As of writing this article, Friday afternoon, the guess is that there will be Tornado Watches in place by noon on Sunday with the first of the storms firing up shortly afterwards.
It'll be very important to stay on top of the forecast this weekend especially as we get closer to Sunday.