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Weak front on the way tonight, but milder temperatures sticking with us

Posted at 4:23 PM, Jan 19, 2021
and last updated 2021-01-19 23:42:05-05

A weak front will try and push through tonight, but it will start to run out of steam as it makes it to our area.

ICAST Next 48 Hour Temps Rob.png
katc models

Temperatures will be falling into the lower 50s by tomorrow morning as clouds slowly start to work in with an approaching front.

That front could help to generate a few light sprinkles first thing on your Wednesday morning, but most of us will remain dry.

The front will quickly washout and actually begin to lift back northward throughout the day tomorrow which will allow southerly flow to get re-established across the area.

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katc graf

As a result, it will be another mild afternoon (albeit a few degrees cooler than today) as highs climb into the upper 60s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.

We will be lacking sufficient low-level moisture on Wednesday, so I do expect the day to remain dry.

The frontal boundary will continue lifting northward heading into Thursday morning allowing moisture to continue to be drawn in from the Gulf.

Thus, expect overnight lows to briefly get into the mid-50s overnight Wednesday, but then actually start to rise closer to the upper 50s by daybreak on Thursday.

We could see a few light showers generated on Thursday afternoon, but a lot of the model guidance actually have the bulk on the rain staying farther to our north.

I've got rain chances at 30%. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies as temperatures return to the lower 70s on Thursday afternoon.

Best rain chances still look to arrive as we head into Friday as an upper-level disturbance and surface feature approach from the north and west.

Models have trended to more Friday morning (ish) and perhaps extending into parts of the afternoon time frame.

Rain chances will sit at around 60-70%, but the highest rainfall totals may actually set-up a little farther to our north.

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katc models

However, we know the drill, and small details like rain estimates are almost certainly going to change by the week's end, so continue to stay with us for the latest.

We turn cooler heading into Saturday as highs drop back into the mid-60s.

Some spotty showers possible this weekend, but models continue to struggle on coming up with a concrete solution.

We will be back into the lower 70s on Sunday afternoon.

Our next upper-level disturbance arrives on Monday bringing with it another chance to see some scattered showers.

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