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Warming trend for the week ahead

Posted: 4:40 PM, Nov 17, 2019
Updated: 2019-11-17 23:33:56-05
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Eric's weather forecast part 1 11-17-19 10pm
Eric's weather forecast part 2 11-17-19 10pm

After an extended taste of winter the last several days we will see a return to more fall-like temperatures for the new work week.

Monday looks to be the last day Acadiana will have below normal temperatures but it will still feel really nice with highs in the mid to upper 60s under mostly sunny skies.

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Then on Tuesday highs will climb into the lower 70s followed by mid 70s on Wednesday and upper 70s on Thursday and Friday.

Even at night it will not be as cold as lows Wednesday morning will hold in the 50s and by Thursday and Friday morning lows will only dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Our next chance for rain arrives sometime Friday into Saturday with our next cool front but there is some disagreement between the models.

The Euro has the first front getting caught up near the Tennessee Valley on Friday before a low pressure system moves into Texas and drags a second cool front through Acadiana on Saturday producing scattered showers.

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However, the GFS believes the first front might be strong enough that it can dive all the way down into the Southeast bringing scattered showers into Acadiana on Friday.

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Thus, we will have to wait for the models to come into better agreement to know for sure when the front will arrive but we do know it will be dry through at least Thursday.

Behind this front it does look like cooler air slides into Acadiana as highs on Sunday and Monday will fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s while overnight lows will dip into the lower 40s.

Also, the tropical season is not over just yet and the National Hurricane Center is monitoring a broad low pressure system in the Atlantic for possible development.

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As of Sunday afternoon the hurricane center had upped the chances to 40% that this system could get organized in the next few days and become a tropical depression.

However, it does look like this disturbance will get absorbed by a frontal system coming off the East Coast by the middle of the week.

Either way this system should stay out over open waters and will not affect the United States.