A warm and increasingly humid week is ahead for Acadiana with temperatures climbing within a few degrees of 90 by Wednesday.
An upper level ridge of high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico should expand through mid-week ahead of a series of upper level disturbances that will change the pattern and allow for better chance of showers and storms from Thursday through Saturday.
In the near term, expect generally fair to partly cloudy skies overnight into Monday morning with pleasant temperatures in the lower 60s.
The area will see another nice day with a sun and cloud mix Monday with the slight chance of a late afternoon shower at 20%.
High temperatures Monday will rise into the low-mid 80s.
After a balmy start near 70 Tuesday, high temperatures will increase further well into the mid-80s for the afternoon. We'll see more clouds Tuesday however, with a light chance of a few scattered showers, roughly at 20-30%.
A taste of near summer-like temperatures and humidity is anticipated for Wednesday with highs pushing into the upper 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies.
The forecast gets trickier (due to lack of model consistency and agreement) later this week into the weekend.
For now expect a pretty good chance of showers and storms developing late Thursday into Friday associated with a stalling cool front.
Today the latest Euro Model is also bring a fairly energetic storms system through the area Saturday which could translate to a high chance of storms, and perhaps a severe weather threat sometime Saturday.
See the KATC 10 Day Forecast for the latest.
Model agreement and consistency are not only an issue currently beyond 5-6 days, but it should be noted that the lack of aircraft data getting into the models (due to the current crisis and much fewer planes in the sky) appears to be leading to more forecast variability, inconsistencies and below normal confidence in forecasting in the already tricky 7-10 day time frame.
On a better note: we're getting over one curve in Acadiana...pollen count, specifically tree pollen, is slowly improving across the area. We've gone from very high last week to moderately high a lowering. One less thing to worry about!
