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Warm week ahead...some showers; better rain chances next weekend

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Posted at 4:41 PM, Mar 15, 2020
and last updated 2020-03-15 23:00:08-04

More spring warmth and plenty of clouds remains in the forecast for Acadiana this week, but there should be a slightly better chance of a few showers going into Tuesday, and more so into next weekend.

In the near term, a very weak and diffuse frontal boundary sagging southward across the state will drift far enough to the south to allow for slightly cooler temperatures into Monday morning, ranging from the upper 50s across northern portions of Acadiana to low-mid 60s down toward the coast.

The same feature should limit fog development along and north of the I-10 corridor, but fog is certainly remains threat Monday morning for the coastal parishes.

Monday will bring mostly cloudy skies and seasonably warm temperatures across the area with highs closer to the mid-upper 70s...some 3-5 degrees cooler than our Sunday.

A return to southerly winds Monday will probably signal a better chance of some fog developing across most of the area for Tuesday morning...but like in recent days, fog can be limited by more cloud cover, but if skies become fair during the early evening, fog will likely become a better bet.

Rain chances look to stay in the 10% range Monday but should increase to 30-40% Tuesday as an upper level disturbance pushes through the area...at this point look for a few scattered showers and possibly an isolated thundershower.

A resumption of mostly cloudy and warm conditions will follow Wednesday through Friday with highs generally pushing the lower 80s, lows in the mid-upper 60s, and the chance of light night/early morning fog. (See the latest models here).

Rain chances Wednesday through Friday should be in the 20% range or less but should ramp up Friday night into the weekend as our first cool front in roughly two weeks arrives this weekend.

But like most fronts this time of year, it will stall for the weekend allowing for rain chances to ramp up to the 60% range Saturday and near 40-50% Sunday.

High temperatures next weekend should get closer to "normal" with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s while overnight lows briefly drop into the upper 50s.

It should warm back up the following week as the front advances back to the north.

See the KATC 10 Day Forecast for the latest.