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Tropical threat looms for early next week

Tropical threat for early next week
Posted at 4:40 PM, Aug 20, 2020
and last updated 2020-08-21 00:14:54-04

Rob's weather forecast 10 p.m. (8/20/20):

Mostly quiet and pleasant (For August!) day across Acadiana with the bulk of the storm activity staying well off to our east.

Low temperatures tonight and into Friday morning will drop back into the lower 70s under clear skies. Not too bad if you ask me!

Pretty similar story heading into Friday and the first half of the weekend as high temperatures settle into the lower 90s and we may see a few very isolated thundershowers develop through the course of the afternoon.

The end of the weekend and most of next week's weather largely depends on what comes about out in the tropics.

Latest guidance suggests that Tropical Depression 14 will continue to strengthen as it heads toward the Yucatan and perhaps weaken a bit as it interacts with land.

Thereafter, it is forecasted to head northwestward through the Gulf of Mexico and potentially make landfall somewhere along the west/central Gulf Coast early next week has a moderate/strong tropical storm and perhaps even a low-end hurricane.

If the current track holds, that would certainly put Acadiana at risk for tropical impacts for early next week. Regardless, we are likely to see deep tropical moisture be sent into our general direction, so at this point, we at least have to raise our rain chances for most of next week. Of course, the forecast and intensity tracks are likely to evolve and change a bit in the coming days meaning specific impact details are not concrete at this time.

We also continue to closely monitor TD 13 out in the Atlantic. It is forecasted to become a hurricane before it enters the eastern Gulf by early next week.

Most of the models have been consistently and in good agreement curving it toward the Florida panhandle heading into the middle parts of next week.

Of course, we will continue to monitor the progression of this system as well. Still too early to hatch on to that outcome at this time.