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Tropical system poses no threat to Acadiana...local forecast good

Posted at 5:48 PM, Oct 17, 2019
and last updated 2019-10-17 18:48:05-04

While we watch a potential tropical or subtropical system developing in the Gulf of Mexico Friday night, Acadiana’s weather will be in pretty good shape into the weekend.

Look for mostly cloudy skies to continue overnight through early Friday with a slight chance of a few isolated showers, especially along the coastal parishes through Friday morning.

Temperatures overnight through the morning should hold in the upper 50s thanks to the cloud cover.

Clouds will begin to part and intervals of sunshine are expected to develop Friday afternoon, allowing our temperatures to get back into the low to mid 70s.

Meanwhile in the tropics, a complicated scenario has been developing with a weak area of low pressure developing in the Bay of Campeche, while an upper level low in Texas dominates the northern portions of the Gulf of Mexico.

The National Hurricane Center feels that potential tropical cyclone number 16 will become either become tropical storm or sub tropical storm Nestor Friday night into Saturday morning.

This system will have no impact upon Acadiana other than a brief increase in tides of 1-2 feet along the coast Friday morning.

The tropical system is expected to strengthen and head toward the Florida Panhandle making landfall very late Friday night into Saturday morning.

Some tropical storm force winds gusts will be possible over Southeast Louisiana Friday into Friday night that’s a tropical storm warning is in effect for these areas.

Heaviest rainfall with this system will also be displaced well east of Acadiana and likely most of Louisiana, into portions of perhaps Mississippi, more likely Alabama, and certainly the Florida Panhandle.

Rainfall totals from coastal Alabama to the Florida Panhandle can be expected to be in the 3 to 5 inch range minimally, with isolated spots accruing more.

Locally for Acadiana into this weekend, expect mostly sunny skies Saturday with temperatures topping out the lower 80s, and partly cloudy skies Sunday with highs reaching the mid-80s along with increasing humidity ahead of our next front that arrives Monday.

The cool front Monday will likely be accompanied by showers and some strong thunderstorms, and per the Storm Prediction Center, there will likely be some sort of severe weather risk with storms potentially producing damaging winds.

A couple of inches of rain can also be expected Monday but the front will be progressive so flooding is not anticipated.

Much cooler weather is expected to follow again for mid next week, with yet another front, and a cooler one, arriving for next Friday.

See the 10 day forecast for the latest.