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Tropical Depression 14 forms in the Caribbean Sea; Likely heading for Gulf

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The 14th tropical depression of the Atlantic hurricane season has formed in the Caribbean Sea.

The latest track/intensity forecast is below. The system is expected to impact portions of the Gulf Coast sometime early next week.

Still a little too early for impact specifics, but the bottom line is that we'll have to watch this one closely and be prepared.

From the NHC:

"1. Tropical Depression Fourteen is expected to strengthen over the northwestern Caribbean Sea through Saturday, and it could produce tropical-storm-force winds and heavy rainfall over portions of the coast of Honduras and the Bay Islands beginning tonight through Friday. The system could be near or at hurricane strength when it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday, and watches could be required for a portion of that area later today.

2. The system is expected to move into the south-central Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm on Sunday. Some strengthening is anticipated while it moves northwestward over the western Gulf of Mexico early next week, but it is too soon to know exactly how strong it will get or the location and magnitude of impacts it will produce along the central or northwestern Gulf Coast. Interests in that area should continue monitoring the progress of this system over the next few days."