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Showers/storms likely later Wednesday; low end severe weather risk

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Posted at 5:44 PM, Feb 11, 2020
and last updated 2020-02-11 23:47:44-05

Showers will be an increasingly good bet for Acadiana into Wednesday afternoon/evening as a cool front pushes through the area.

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In addition, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is maintaining a lower end risk for a few severe storms.

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Most of our model guidance Tuesday points to the chance of scattered showers and some drizzle/mist and fog overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning.

A cool front approaching the area later in the day should spark more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity into the latter part of the afternoon into the early evening.

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With a low end threat (marginal to slight risk for most of Acadiana), a few storms might have the capability of producing damaging winds and/or an isolated tornado.

The greatest threat will be for damaging winds...set at a 15% chance within a 25 mile radius within any point of the outlook area.

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The tornado threat will be closer to 2%. The best signal for any severe weather Wednesday into Wednesday night will likely be farther to the northeast and into Mississippi.

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Look for gusty southerly winds ahead of and accompanying the storms into tomorrow afternoon/evening with gusts up to 35 mph possible.

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Showers and storms will gradually taper around midnight give or take several hours with breezy and cooler conditions, under some persistent cloud cover accompanied by cooler temperatures into the mid-50s are expected Thursday.

In the near term, after a morning start in the low-mid 60s Wednesday, temperatures should climb into the mid-70s with perhaps a few brief intervals of midday sun, prior to the front and storms approaching later in the afternoon.

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Skies will clear Thursday night with a winter chill back for a couple of nights. Lows will drop into the mid-upper 30s by Friday morning.

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Sunny and cool conditions are expected Friday, which currently is the only completely sunny day in the 10 Day Forecast!

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Clouds will return Saturday with the risk of some showers and/or some drizzle/mist going into Saturday evening. Highs Saturday will top out in the mid-60s cooling into the mid-upper 50s later that evening/night.

A better chance of scattered showers and a few storms will be possible into Sunday with highs expected in the upper 60s

The weather pattern into next week remains unsettled and rather mild (back into the 70s) with rain chances possible Monday and Tuesday.

A changeable pattern will with some lower end rain chances will likely persist for the rest of next week.