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Scattered showers this evening and Thursday/Latest on Dorian

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Posted at 4:27 PM, Aug 28, 2019
and last updated 2019-08-28 17:33:16-04

A weak cool front is slowly progressing south through Acadiana sparking off hit or miss showers and storms.

A coupe of these storms are producing heavy rains and some small hail.

With this front in the area scattered showers/storms will linger til about 9-10 pm Wednesday evening before finally falling apart.

This front then looks to buckle with the front pushing out into the Gulf over southeast Louisiana on Thursday but the tail end of it could still hang on over southwest Louisiana meaning we will have to keep the chance for a few isolated showers during the afternoon, especially near Lake Charles.

Otherwise Thursday will be another hot and humid day with highs in the lower 90s.

For northern portions of Acadiana you could maybe begin to notice a small drop in the humidity as dew points will be falling into the mid to upper 60s.

Friday through Sunday our weather is looking nice with low humidity levels and lots of sunshine.

Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s but the evening and mornings will feel great with lows dropping down into the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Sunday afternoon, as some tropical moisture tries to scoot towards the region, we could have a few isolated showers slide into the region but chances will only be at about 20%.

Labor Day Monday looks to be a typical summer day with hot and humid conditions and the chance for pop-up showers and storms in the afternoon.

Beyond Labor Day our forecast will be tried to what ends up happening with Dorian.

Speaking of Hurricane Dorian the latest information as of 4 pm Wednesday afternoon is that the storm has crossed over the the Virgin Islands and emerged into the Atlantic.

With the storm now over open waters it is already getting better organized with an eye beginning to form as winds are up to 80 mph and gust near 100 mph.

Dorian should continue to move off to the northwest at 14 mph and gradually strengthen over the next several days.

By this weekend it could become a major category 3 hurricane with winds of 115+ mph as it passes to the north of the Bahamas.

As Dorian is intensify this weekend a ridge of high pressure should build off the Carolina coast steering Dorian to the west pushing it towards the east coast of Florida.

The latest track from the National Hurricane Center shows Dorian making landfall near Daytona Beach as a major category 3 hurricane with 115 mph winds late Sunday night into Monday morning.

The bigger story today is that more models are now indicating that Dorian could slide across the Florida peninsula and enter the Gulf of Mexico early next week.

As of right now it still looks like an upper level high will be pushing into the Great Plains early next week which should help to turn Dorian back to the north with a second landfall near the Alabama-Florida border by the middle of next week as a possible hurricane.

We definitely need to monitor Dorian closely over the next several days but right now most models have it staying away from Louisiana.

Also, in the tropics Erin has weakened to a tropical depression with 35 mph and is looking quite ragged in the Atlantic.

Erin will stay off the east coast but could cause some issues for the New England area and Nova Scotia this weekend as a tropical depression or weak tropical storm.