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Rain chances trending downward; heat trending upward

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Posted at 5:34 PM, May 27, 2020
and last updated 2020-05-27 18:34:57-04

The risk of showers and storms will continue to trend downward for Acadiana into the weekend, but the chance of storms won't be out of the picture for a couple of more days.

Acadiana continues to remain under the influence of an upper level low pressure system near Arkansas that sparked big storms in Southeast Texas Wednesday afternoon.

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Some of the energy, and perhaps a few of the storms, some strong, may slip into Southwest Louisiana into Wednesday evening with enough energy eventually traversing Acadiana to keep a slight chance of storms overnight for the rest of us, and likely into Thursday.

For now rain chances will be in the 30% range or less though Thursday, but as noted Tuesday evening, the pattern is very difficult to determine if and where storms will form as drier more stable air is also trying to filter into the region at the same time.

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Nonetheless, expect another day of sun and cloud mix for our Thursday with the chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

Temperatures over the next few nights, like Wednesday morning, should be a little more comfortable, with lows in the mid-upper 60s.

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Highs Thursday will likely push into the mid 80s once again.

Friday will probably be the last day for Acadiana to be under the influence of that upper low, so rain chances will stay, but they will be low.

This weekend into early next week, it appears that drier more stable air will take hold of the region, keeping rain chances low, but likely allowing for increasing high temperatures.

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This pattern should persist into a good part of next week with highs in the lower 90s, while lows range from the upper 60s to lower 70s, with only slight rain chances on any given day.

See the KATC 10 Day forecast for the latest.

Meanwhile in the tropics, that area of disturbed weather yesterday by the Florida the coast briefly got organized enough just off the South Carolina Coast to force the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to upgrade the system to Tropical Storm Bertha.

But already, Bertha is inland and has weakened to a depression and the NHC is no longer issuing advisories on the system...in just a blink of the eye!

Still the threat of heavy rainfall is expected from the Carolinas on northward over the next couple of days.

Finally, as we officially head into hurricane season Monday, attention may get drawn toward the Yucatan Peninsula or surrounding areas from the Eastern Pacific to the Northwest Caribbean in the 90-15 period where tropical moisture is looking to pool per the longer range models, and perhaps get more organized down the line.

No worries for now, but it's that time of year that we have to look for potential trouble spots and that may be one of them.

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