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Rain chances increasing; Tropics remaining active

Posted at 5:41 PM, Sep 10, 2020

A relatively quiet and dry evening and night will be shaping up across Acadiana as low temperatures drop back into the lower and mid 70s under clear skies.

We will see an inverted trough move in from the east through the course of Friday afternoon which, along with daytime heating, should help to spark off a few scattered showers and storms out there.

Any one storm will be capable of producing heavy rainfall in a short period of time.

Just about all of the morning and at least parts of the afternoon should remain dry, so that will allow for high temperatures to still climb into the low and mid 90s before clouds and some storms start rolling in.

Another tropical wave will then try and sneak into the area for the weekend and early parts of next week which should to keep our rain chances slightly elevated.

Now both of these areas are being monitored by the hurricane center for possible development, but our main concerns at this point is the threat of localized heavy rainfall in the next week.

I have a full breakdown of the tropics below...

In the tropics: Today is the official peak of the Atlantic hurricane season and we are currently keeping our eyes on 6 areas in the basin.

GULF: First area has a low, 20% chance to develop in the coming days as it drifts to the west and eventually southwest with time. Should stay fairly disorganized and lead to some increased rain chances for us here locally. No real threat.

Second area near the Bahamas has a 40% chance to develop in the next 5 days as it works westward toward the eastern Gulf. Regardless if we see a depression form out of this or not, rain chances will stay elevated for us here in Acadiana through next week as deep tropical moisture moves in.

This area is NOT expected to develop into anything significant, but of course we will continue to monitor. Main concern at this time appears to be localized heavy rainfall at times.

ATLANTIC: Tropical Storm's Paulette and Rene are still forecasted to head generally out to sea, although Bermuda may see some impacts from Paulette down the line.

FARTHER OUT: Two other areas near the African coast both have chances to develop in the coming days. The area given a 90% chance to develop is likley to become Sally with time and will be worth watching as it treks westward over the coming days.

*Yes, tropics are busy... BUT no immediate or significant threats to Acadiana at this time, so keep that in mind. We will continue to watch closely and update you all with the very latest.