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Quiet pattern in the short-term; all eyes on tropics for mid-week

Posted at 10:23 PM, Oct 24, 2020
and last updated 2020-10-24 23:23:18-04

Overnight lows into Sunday will be in the mid and upper 50s.

Some patchy fog will be possible early Sunday morning, but that will give way to sunshine mixed with clouds by the afternoon.

Temperatures will top out in the mid to upper 80s Sunday afternoon.

We will be a tad warmer for Monday and Tuesday as slightly higher rain chances get re-introduced into the forecast for Tuesday.

Best rain chances of the week come on Wednesday ahead of a stronger cold front and whatever comes about from Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight out in the Caribbean.

Drier and much cooler weather returns for late week and just in time for the Halloween weekend!

We will be talking high temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s and overnight lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

In the tropics: Tropical Depression Twenty-Eight formed in the NW Caribbean Sea.

It will become Zeta in the next day or so as it is forecasted to reach the northern Gulf Coast as a tropical storm by mid/late week.

I will point out that there will be some variables working in our favor.

The first is slightly cooler northern Gulf waters (not mid-August temperatures) which will prohibit the storm from rapidly intensifying upon landfall.

Additionally, an upper-level trough that will be approaching from the west by mid-week will provide some amounts of wind shear that will hinder the storm from strengthening as it approaches the Gulf Coast.

In simplest terms, a decent amount of the convection will tend to be sheared to the east of center of circulation.

This is a good case where being on the western side of the storm will be beneficial.

There is still uncertainty with this system as we remain 4-5 days out, so subtle changes are highly likely to occur.

For now, just something to keep a close eye on.

Continue to follow the KATC storm team for the very latest.