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Not as stormy Thursday; drier Friday...storms back for weekend

Posted: 5:24 PM, Aug 14, 2019
Updated: 2019-08-14 18:24:34-04
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After a stormy Wednesday afternoon, conditions shouldn't be as active storm-wise for Acadiana Thursday, but there will still bet the risk of some activity.

An upper level disturbance sagging southward across the Acadiana region overnight into Friday will become stationary along the coast Thursday and Friday.

Scattered showers and storms will likely persist well into the evening with most activity ending by or after midnight tonight.

Lingering tropical moisture will still lead to some scattered storms for portions of Acadiana Thursday, especially in the afternoon, and primarily along and south of the I-10 Corridor/Parishes.

Rain chances Thursday will likely be in the 40% range, give or take 10%...but will likely be a lot lower in northern Acadiana.

The tropical moisture should work its way far enough offshore Friday to allow for a mostly sunny, hot and dry day Friday.

Afternoon temperatures will reach the lower 90s Thursday and could push the mid-90s Friday, before getting pushed back down this weekend as moisture and storms return from the Gulf.

Rain chances should increase back into the 40% range Saturday and likely in the 50-60% range for Sunday and Monday.

At least the rain chances and clouds should hold temperatures down this weekend and mostly in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

Farther down the road, it might become interesting in the Gulf of Mexico next week...

Both the Euro & GFS models are strikingly similar to bringing a tropical wave/slug of moisture into the Gulf from the Western Caribbean by mid-week.

There is the possibility of some tropical development next week with at least, some potential rainfall impacts for perhaps portions of Louisiana later in the week...but anyone along the Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida is in the early "heads-up" zone for now.

For now, we'll just put this on the "bears watch" list and see what the model trends look like Thursday... the warmer than normal Gulf of of Mexico may be receptive for some tropical mischief, mid-late next week, but at the same time, tropical waves are continuing to battle with some African Dust...stay tuned for what may or may not develop.