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More sun, warmer Thursday...Another front on the way

Posted at 4:37 PM, Sep 30, 2020
and last updated 2020-09-30 19:10:38-04

Unabated sunshine remains in the forecast for Acadiana Thursday along with warmer afternoon temperatures, but another cool front will arrive in the area by Thursday night.

After a cool start in the mid-upper 50s, look for highs Thursday afternoon to reach close to the mid-80s.

A dry cool front will move through the area Thursday evening bringing a return of breezier conditions Thursday night and cooler temperatures into Friday.

Lows Friday morning should be in the mid-50s with afternoon highs reaching the more refreshing mid-70s under non-stop sunshine.

It will be even cooler Friday night into Saturday morning with lows expected to flirt with the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Expect a mostly sunny and pleasant weekend with highs Saturday in the mid-70s but warming to near 80° Sunday afternoon.

Yet another dry cool front will arrive late Sunday into Monday keeping our weather sunny and seasonably cool for a good part of next week.

See the KATC 10 day forecast for the latest.

Thereafter, it looks to get a little more interesting as it appears the tropics may be coming out of its brief slumber.

An area of disturbed weather heading for the Western Caribbean was showing more organization on satellite imagery Wednesday afternoon and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is giving this disturbance about a 60% chance of development by this weekend...and we won't be surprised if odds continue to increase in the days ahead.

A depression could form and be located roughly near the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula or Bay of Campeche into early next week.

Thereafter, the longer term models are at odds with what may happen with the Euro keeping one or two broad systems bottled up in the Southern Gulf or Northwest Caribbean.

The GFS on the other hand...which has had a better track record on the tropics this past summer, has been consistently insisting on developing a system that fizzles in the Southern Gulf or the Bay of Campeche while a secondary, more organized system develops in its wake and advances into the Central Gulf of Mexico in the 9-10 day frame.

The latest run of the Euro model does support this possible scenario to a limited degree.

The bottom line, we could have one or two new named storms in this area into the first week or two of October...the next names on the extended Greek alphabet list are Gamma and Delta.

It remains more than speculative if there will be any U.S. tropical threats in October, but nothing would be surprising given the active year we have seen to date...for now, no Louisiana worries.

We'll keep you updated should the outlook change.

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