Welcome to a new week, everyone!
It was a beautiful afternoon across the area as temperatures topped out in the lower 60s.
Clear skies this evening will eventually give way to clouds late tonight and into tomorrow morning.
Temperatures will be starting out in the lower to mid-40s.
After that chilly start, expect a nice warm-up into the upper-60s on Monday afternoon under mostly cloudy skies.
A weak, upper-level disturbance will be pushing through the area tomorrow evening which may help to generate a few light showers/sprinkles, but nothing impressive.
Back to partly cloudy skies on Tuesday as southerly flow pushes our temperatures into the mid-70s.
Similar conditions are anticipated on Wednesday, although some scattered rain chances will work back in for the afternoon.
Rain chances up to 70% on Thursday ahead of a cold front.
A few embedded thunderstorms and locally heavy downpours will be possible, but no severe weather is expected at this time.
Forecast confidence starts to decrease considerably heading into the following weekend as models have been noticeably inconsistent with their solutions.
After the morning run of the GFS went bonkers on cold, arctic air moving into the region (readings in the teens and wind chills sub-0 at times) and bringing in an impressive winter storm for Saturday, it actually trended more towards the Euro model this afternoon (GFS shows a wetter solution for Saturday).
Bottom line: This is NOT set in stone as it is only two model projections.. and with the models continuing to flip-flop, forecast confidence for days 7+ remains low at this time.
Make sure to check back in throughout the week for the latest information.
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