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Good chance of storms Tuesday, quieter later in week

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Posted at 5:22 PM, Jul 29, 2019
and last updated 2019-07-29 18:22:17-04

A good chance of showers and thunderstorms is in the forecast for Acadiana Tuesday as an upper level disturbance drops southward across the state.

Prime-time for showers and storms in Acadiana will be anywhere from mid-morning through the bulk of the afternoon hours.

While impossible to predict where, there will likely be spots that see locally heavy downpours of several inches.

The greatest risk of heaviest storms Tuesday, that may lead to some localized flooding, would be in the central and northern part of the state.

But as usual, there will be a few spots in Acadiana that may catch several inches of rain under a slow-moving storm

Temperatures. thanks to the clouds and storms, will be kept in check, in the low-mid 80s for our Tuesday.

The same upper feature will drift into the Gulf of Mexico Wednesday, then slowly recede westward toward Texas later this week.

This will leave Acadiana with the a 40% chance of scattered mainly afternoon storms Wednesday, with rain chances dropping to near 20% Thursday and Friday as drier more stable air moves in temporarily from the east-southeast as a ridge of high pressure takes temporary hold.

Temperatures will climb back into the lower 90s Thursday, Friday and perhaps, into the weekend.

The ridge of high pressure will gradually weaken into the weekend allowing for a subsequent subtle increase of rain chances through Sunday.

Meanwhile in the tropics, while there are two active systems likely to become hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific, the Atlantic Basin appears to coming out of its dusty slumber with one disturbance heading for the Bahamas and another good-looking wave emerging off of the African Coast.

The first wave has limited potential for development, but heavier rains for portions of Florida and the Bahamas are in the offing in a few days.

The African Wave appears to have potential for development, especially when it gets closer to the vicinity of the Northeastern Caribbean in about a week's time.

For now, it appears that any potential storm tracks will stay out in the Atlantic.

There are no immediate Gulf threats as our weather will be dominated by a few frontal troughs approaching from the northwest...meaning more up & down days with regard to our rain chances over the next week to 10 days.