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Fall chill on the way

Posted at 4:42 PM, Sep 28, 2020
and last updated 2020-09-28 23:51:32-04

It's time get get the gumbo pots out as Acadiana gets its first taste of fall this week with temperatures dropping into the 50s at night...with seasonably cool weather likely to last through the weekend.

After strong storms pounded portions of Acadiana with high winds and several inches of rain, much drier and significantly cooler weather is on the way.

Showers will diminish across the area early this evening, followed by breezy and cooler conditions along with clearing skies overnight.

Gusty NNW winds will make it feel that much cooler.

Look for lows across the area by morning to drop into the mid-upper 50s for the first time in more than 4 months, since May 12 (58°).

Tuesday will be a sunny, breezy and quite cool with highs struggling to reach the low-mid 70s.

It will be rather breezy with gusty NNW near 15-25 mph through the afternoon.

And it should be even cooler Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as winds diminish and skies remain crystal clear with lows likely getting into the lower 50s.

Blues skies and seasonably cool fall weather will likely continue for the area through the end of the week with a reinforcing dry cool front arriving by Friday insuring a stellar weekend.

See the KATC 10 Day forecast for the latest.

As for the tropics, while taking a break for now, are expected to get more active, particularly in the Western or Northwestern Caribbean by the end of the week or weekend.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently indicating a medium, 40% chance of development in this area, which would not be unusual given the time of the year.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop in the region as deeper tropical moisture associated with an eastern Caribbean wave arrives in the vicinity toward the end of the week.

Climatology dictates that the most likely area for development is in this region in the first 10 days of October, with main storm tracks generally toward the northeast, perhaps near Florida and/or the Bahamas.

It should be noted however that Louisiana has seen a couple of big storm landfalls in the first days of October including hurricanes Lili in 2002 and Hilda in 1964.

Although we are in the second half of tropical season, we are still on the back end of the busiest portion of the season, especially through the several weeks of October.

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