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Decent chance for strong to severe storms on Monday

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Posted at 4:49 PM, Dec 14, 2019
and last updated 2019-12-14 17:49:39-05

It will be another mild night with dense fog moving onshore this evening and thickening throughout the night as a warm front moves out of the Gulf and towards the I-10 corridor.

Sunday afternoon the warm front will continue to lift to the north creating a warm day with highs topping out in the upper 70s.

Winds will also increase out of the South at 10-18 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph, behind the front making for a breezy afternoon.

Monday will be another warm day with highs in the mid to upper 70s, although we will have a fair amount of clouds for most of the day.

Then Monday afternoon/evening you are going to want to be weather aware as a strong cold front will push into Acadiana producing a line of strong to severe storms.

The Storm Prediction Center has those along I-10 and to the north under a slight risk (15%) for a few storms to potentially produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph, spin-up tornadoes and large hail while those closer to the Gulf are hatched in for a marginal risk (5%) of severe weather.

This system is definitely one we will be watching closely the next few days as the showers look to develop ahead of the front in the warm sector with temperatures in the 70s combined with slightly cooler and drier air aloft creating plenty of energy in the atmosphere for these storms to develop.

Besides the possibility for severe storms these showers look to produce a decent amount of rain between 1-2 inches which could lead to minor flash flooding on streets and in low lying areas that are prone to hold water.

Behind this line of storms winter will make a big return to Acadiana as cold and breezy conditions will dive over the region on Tuesday.

Highs Tuesday afternoon will struggle to reach the lower 50s, and with a steady breeze out of the north at 10-20 mph, it will only feel like the lower 40s most of the day.

Wednesday morning lows will dip to near freezing while feels like temperatures will drop into the lower 20s, so get the hats and gloves ready.

Temperatures stay below normal for highs Wednesday afternoon as we will only get into the mid 50s but at least the winds will begin to die down.

With clear and calm conditions Wednesday night lows Thursday morning will also dip into the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Thursday afternoon will not be much better as highs stay in the 50s again.

We don't get back into the 60s til Friday afternoon.

But with the slightly warmer temperatures comes the chance for a few scattered showers as a weak system tries to swing across the Bayou state.