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Clouds return Sunday; unsettled/stormy mid-week

Posted at 5:43 PM, Feb 29, 2020
and last updated 2020-02-29 20:02:46-05
ROB'S WEATHER FORECAST PART 2 6PM 2/29/2020
ROB'S WEATHER FORECAST PART 1 6PM 2/29/2020

After several days of sunshine clouds will be returning to Acadiana Sunday with gray skies and eventually some rainy/stormy weather developing mid-week.

Look for fair skies and perhaps the risk of some patchy fog by morning accompanied by milder temperatures closer to the lower 50s overnight into Sunday morning.

After partly sunny skies early Sunday, clouds will increase into the afternoon courtesy of a more active sub-tropical jet stream developing from Mexico to the Gulf States.

It going to be a breezy day Sunday with southeasterly winds increasing 15-20 mph with some gusts as high as 30 mph during the afternoon as the pressure gradient between high pressure moving to our east combines with developing low pressure in the Red River Valley along the Texas Oklahoma border.

A few light sprinkles may be possible late Sunday afternoon into the evening hours, but no significant rainfall is anticipated.

Highs Sunday will likely top out in the upper 60s to lower 70s across the area.

Clouds will begin to thicken Monday as energy from a Pacific System begins to move across the Southwest US with a few showers possible overnight Sunday into early Monday as our local atmosphere begins to moisten up (look out for sweaty pavement to develop too with increasing humidity and overnight/morning temperatures).

Scattered showers and a few storms will become possible Tuesday as essentially a warm front moves northward through the area providing some atmospheric lift.

The main attraction (our next weather-maker) arrives to Acadiana Wednesday in the form of low pressure that develops in the Western Gulf of Mexico and apparently moves right across Southern Louisiana into the afternoon.

Showers and storms will become likely Wednesday with the possibility of some severe storms, but pinpointing the severe storm risk and their intensity remains premature at this time until a better path of the low pressure system can be projected.

As of Saturday, it appears that the greatest risk of severe storms and heavier rainfall may be from the northern Acadiana Parishes on northward into the central and northern part of the state, but forecast adjustments will be likely in the days ahead.

In addition to a severe weather potential, it does appear that areas from Northern Louisiana into Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina could see some heavier rains from this system, further exacerbating already saturated grounds and high rivers.

Fortunately drier and slightly cooler than normal weather, along with plenty of sun should return to the area later Thursday, into Friday.

Next weekend tentatively looks fair to partly cloudy with seasonable temperatures topping out in the upper 60 to lower 70s.

See the KATC 10 Day forecast for the latest...and fyi...clocks spring forward next Saturday night!

Climate/Allergy Notes: Now that the weather is warming up across Acadiana, the trees across the area are entering their full bloom period pushing our local tree pollen into the very high category this weekend.