After a relatively quiet few weeks it appears that a changeable pattern is in the offing for Acadiana this week into the weekend, followed by a chill next week.
In the near term, expect another chilly one tonight with lows Tuesday morning ranging from the mid-40s to lower 50s.
Tuesday will bring some sunshine early but clouds will be increasing during the afternoon as breezy southeasterly to southerly winds kick in across the region.
Look for milder afternoon temperatures Tuesday with highs in the mid, to in some cases, upper 70s.
Temperatures will hold in the upper 60s to near 70 overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning ahead of a cool front that should supply a good scattering of showers and a few thunderstorms Wednesday.
Rain shower and storm activity will be moving along Wednesday so rainfall totals should be well below one inch.
Temperatures Wednesday may briefly top out near 80° by late morning/midday prior to the front arriving during the early afternoon.
Any storms Wednesday should be below severe levels for Acadiana, although portions of Central and Northern Louisiana are hatched in for a marginal risk of a severe storm or two by the Storm Prediction Center.
The front will fizzle just south of Acadiana into Thursday morning and is expected to drift back northward across the area as a warm front by late Thursday.
So the forecast for Thanksgiving will have temperatures starting out in the mid-50s with some sun early, but clouds are expected for the afternoon along with a few scattered showers possible into Thursday evening. Temperatures Thursday afternoon should reach the mid-70s.
It gets more interesting into the weekend as a series of stronger disturbances and perhaps an area of low pressure develops across the region.
This could bring not only a good chance of showers and locally strong thunderstorms to the area but the threat of locally heavy rains.
Today's Euro model is indicating a solid soaking of 3-6" of rain across the area through the next week, while the GFS is not as aggressive on the rainfall.
Although too away, there could be a severe weather threat at some point by Friday or into some part of the weekend as well.
Both the Euro & GFS models however point toward a winter chill and the coolest temperatures of the fall season to follow into the following week.
See the KATC 10 Day Forecast for the latest.
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