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A few showers on Monday/Low end severe threat Wednesday

Posted: 9:24 PM, Feb 09, 2020
Updated: 2020-02-09 22:24:06-05
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Lingering showers will continue on and off through the overnight hours creating perfect sleeping weather tonight.

We could get a break during the morning on Monday before another round of showers and a few storms works through Acadiana in the afternoon.

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However, the heavier rains and chance for a few storms will be to our north along the I-20 corridor where the main impulse of an upper level low will slide through the region.

The Storm Prediction Center has the northern portion of Louisiana under a marginal risk (5%) for severe weather as a couple storms could produce damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and possibility some large hail.

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Tuesday our rain chances will be about 30-40% as a weak cool front boundary will still be located near the region which could spark off a few showers throughout the day otherwise it will just be cloudy and mild day with temperatures in the low to mid 70s.

Wednesday will start off dry but during the afternoon and evening there is a good chance a squall line of showers and storms will swing through Acadiana ahead of our next cold front.

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Even though this is still a few days out the Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Bayou State under a slight risk (15%) for the possibility of damaging wind gusts up to 60-70 mph with this line of storms and maybe a couple quick spin-up tornadoes.

The greater risk for tornadoes will be over Mississippi and Alabama.

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Looking at the latest rainfall totals our numbers in Acadiana have come down a little with about an inch of rain likely over the next few days.

However, areas to our north and back over into Mississippi and Alabama could pick up 4-6 inches of rain which could cause flooding concerns down the road along the Mississippi River later this Spring.

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We dry out on Thursday but it will still be cloudy with cooler air returning to Acadiana with highs in the lower 60s.

Sunshine returns for Valentine's Day but it will be cold with lows Friday morning starting in the mid to upper 30s while afternoon highs will only climb into the upper 50s.

Thus, for those heading out with your significant other Valentine's night you might want to wear a jacket.

Saturday clouds and the chance for a few showers moves back over south Louisiana as our winds flip back out of the south pushing Gulf moisture over the region.

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And looking at the latest GFS model for Sunday into the following week a couple more fronts will bring the chance for more scattered showers each day next week.

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