Showers move in tonight ahead of cold air

Posted at 6:26 AM, Jan 06, 2021

It's been a nice stretch of weather so far this week with mild temperatures and ample sunshine, however, that mild stretch is coming to an end and a cold period is starting in Acadiana.

Clouds will move in through the day on Wednesday with only patchy sunshine through the morning and mostly gray skies through the remainder of the afternoon.

As the clouds gather the winds will be picking up ahead of the front and coming out of the south east around 10-15 mph, and gusts will sit around 20-25 mph.

The front will finally move through late Wednesday evening with showers moving across Acadiana between about 8:00 - 11:00 p.m. along with a handful of thunderstorms along the front.

Severe weather isn't expected with this front, but that's not to say there won't be a chance for some thunderstorms as some rumbles of thunder and lightning will certainly be possible along the front as it moves through the area.

Once the front passes the winds will be picking up from the north and a windy, chilly day will follow on Thursday with clouds locking back into the area for another day.

This will be the beginning of a cold stretch of weather in Acadiana that is going to last through the rest of the week and the weekend with Acadiana returning to the frost zone by Saturday morning and staying there for several days.

A secondary front is moving through on Sunday and that's the one that has everyone talking about the possibility of some winter precipitation either late Sunday night or Monday morning.

Model data has flipped back and forth the last several days with the EURO model being the more aggressive one giving us up to a 30% chance to see some snow on Monday, the GFS though is less impressed and doesn't bring anything other than cold rain.

The above images are the solutions produced by the EURO and the GFS and you can see from a simple glance that they are miles apart which doesn't lead to a whole lot of confidence in the forecast.

In fact even the more aggressive EURO is only giving Acadiana a 20-30% chance to see some winter weather while the GFS is barely up at about 10%.

We're still a long way from Sunday night and the forecast will undoubtedly change between now and then so unfortunately while there's a lot of speculation and questions there still not a whole lot of answers.

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