Delta strengthens a little faster in the 10:00 bulletin from the NHC

Posted at 10:30 AM, Oct 05, 2020
and last updated 2020-10-05 11:30:55-04

There were some signs of an intensifying storm early Monday morning, as Delta officially got bumped up to tropical storm status, and it seems that given the current environment that intensification will be allowed to continue through the week.

According to satellite data a new center has developed just south of the previous one which could cause a few changes in the model runs, which are remarkably in some decent agreement despite an ill defined low.

Hurricane Hunters will investigate the storm on Monday afternoon which will add even more crucial data and we can start to get a sense of some of the impacts Louisiana may be facing at the end of the week.

The new track from the NHC doesn't have much change to it outside of adjusting the new placement of the low and accounting for a slightly faster intensifying storm than originally anticipated.

These changes though play out mostly in the short term with the longer term track looking similar to the way it did on Sunday afternoon, keeping landfall on Friday morning as a Category 2 storm in Terrebonne Parish.

It's still a little too early to talk specifics with this storm since structure and track will affect the ultimate impacts Acadiana will see at the end of the week.

The major models seem to be in decent agreement through the week with regards to track, and even to an extent the intensity with both the GFS and EURO calling for intensification through the next several days to a strong Category 2 storm.

One of the things to watch will be the arrival of some shear in the western Gulf of Mexico which may ultimately put a cap on the intensification, but don't take that to mean that this storm won't be strong at landfall.

We've had plenty of practice this year reviewing the hurricane plan and it's time to do so once again and be prepared to start preparations as needed.

Be sure to continue to monitor this storm closely, even if the track stays east of Acadiana we are right on the border and a storm of that strength would certainly bring impacts to the area.

Stick with KATC through the week to stay on top of this storm, this will be a fast evolving situation and you don't want to get caught off guard.

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