Possible first frost/freeze next Wednesday

Posted at 12:45 PM, Nov 06, 2018
and last updated 2018-11-06 13:45:21-05

As we move into November it is that time of the year that Acadiana finally begins to see rounds of cooler temperatures moving into the region.

Friday our next strong cold front is expected to push into Acadiana bringing with it some fall like air as highs Friday and this weekend will only be in the upper 50s to lower 60s and overnight lows will be dropping into the low to mid 40s.

5 day forecast

This cool air mass looks to remain in place for Acadiana into next week as highs stay in the low to mid 60s with lows in the low to mid 40s.

But by late Tuesday into next Wednesday the jet stream really looks to dive south into the Gulf of Mexico allowing for a shot of cold Canadian air to slide all the way down into Acadiana as lows Wednesday morning could bottom out in the upper 20 and lower 30s, possibility giving us our first frost and freeze of the season.

European model showing the possibility of freezing cold temperatures coming to Acadiana

Here is a closer look at the projected lows according to the European model for next Wednesday morning.

Project low temperatures Wednesday AM according to the European Model

And the freezing temperatures are possible to last a couple nights as these are the projected European lows for Thursday morning as well.

Project low temperatures Thursday AM according to the European Model

Now this event is still about a week away so things could change and as you might have noticed the models of late have been showing these freezing temperatures in the extended forecast but then they don’t actually turn out that cold.

Thus, this is not a guarantee that we will see our first freeze next week but our first frost will definitely be a good possibility.

Also, right now this does NOT look to be a pipe bursting cold either as the temperatures would only get down to around 32° for one or 2 hours which is not long enough to cause pipes to freeze.

Should these numbers turn out to be correct this would be on the earlier side for Acadiana to see its first freeze as it typically does not happen until towards the end of November.

Average first freeze across Acadiana

Again, this is still a week away but we will be watching the models closely and continue to keep you updated with the latest forecast.