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Rain chances increase, but heaviest rains stay west and north - KATC.com | Continuous News Coverage | Acadiana-Lafayette

Rain chances increase, but heaviest rains stay west and north

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The chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase for Acadiana Wednesday as an active frontal system gets a little closer to the area.

Fortunately, the strongest atmospheric dynamics should stay to the west and north of Acadiana over the next several days keeping the persistent  threat of heavy rains and strongest storm away from the area.

Shower activity will be scattered in nature Wednesday with rain chances near 30-40% eastern sections of the area, and up to 60-70% to the west.

Additional scattered shower and thunderstorm activity will likely continue into Wednesday night with lingering activity likely to continue into Thursday, Friday and portions of the weekend.

The Storm Prediction Center has also outlined a marginal risk of severe storms mainly from Eastern Texas into the central and northern portions of Louisiana Wednesday into Wednesday night, with the possibility of a few isolated rotating storms that could produce wind damage and/or an isolated tornado.

Rain totals should generally be an inch or less for most areas of Acadiana through Thursday but accumulating rainfall will be much higher (up to 3-6" just to our to our north and west. 

Longer range model projections for rainfall through the next week does show rain accumulations pushing 2-3" or more for portions of Acadiana, and again, mainly for northern and western sections of the area.

Much higher rainfall totals of 5-8" or more will be possible this week and into the weekend from portions of Texas northeastward into Arkansas and into the Midwest where the potential for flooding becoming more likely in many areas.

Rain chances locally from Thursday into the weekend will be in the 40% rain, give or take 10%.

Temperature-wise, Acadiana will stay well above normal with daytime highs threatening the 80 degree mark through Saturday, but cooling somewhat Sunday into early next week.

The risk of scattered showers may persist into next Monday, but we could see a drier day or two mid-next week...but for now, our weather pattern remains unsettled, with yet another weekend filled with plenty of clouds, and some rain chances.

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