Oct 12, 2012 8:32 PM by Natalie Noah

TS Rafael Forms in the Eastern Caribbean

Newly TS Rafael forms in the eastern Caribbean this evening.  Now about 125 miles WSW of Dominica with a forward motion toward the NNW at 12mph.  Sustained winds of 40mph. 


A turn to the north is expected tomorrow.  A deep trough across the central and eastern US should keep Rafael on a northward track.  South-westerly shear is allowing deep convection to be displaced from its center, however the activity remains in a area for slightly better least over the next day or two. 


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