Tracking the Tropics

Aug 31, 2011 6:21 PM by Natalie Noah

Tropical Storm/Flood Event Possible Labor Day Weekend

Most of us have a extended weekend planned for Labor Day, but heads up as our weather forecast changes quickly in the next several days. We are watching a surge of tropical moisture near the Yucatan Pennisula that continues to produce showers and thunderstorms moving west-northwestward. Starting tomorrow through Monday this tropical wave will meander across the northern and western Gulf of Mexico. There is still some uncertainty on how strong and where the system will develop.

However, models are becoming in better agreement that we may have some type of development on our hands in the next 48 hours. At the very least we will see a large increase of showers and thunderstorms that could produce 3-5 inches per day possibly totaling anywhere from 10-20 inches (more localized) between the Lafayette and New Orleans in only a few days. But anywhere from the Texas coast to the Flordia coast could be a target given rapid change in the forecast. This would cause a major flooding event, in turn could potentially create hazardous conditions especially for travelers along I-10, I-12, and anywhere south of that line. Make sure to take a little extra time to have a plan in case of emergency situations where we could experience tropical storm or at least tropical storm like conditions over the holiday weekend. Hurricane hunter aircraft will go up tomorrow afternoon which will give us more detail on currents. Keep it with KATC for the latest forecast as uncertainties remain so you and your family can plan accordingly.

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