Sep 9, 2013 6:25 PM by Rob Perillo

Tropical Development Possible In Southern Gulf this Week

While Acadiana continues to experience a quiet late summer weather pattern, an area of disturbed weather across the Northwest Caribbean through the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico has some potential for development later this week.

Per the National Hurricane Center, the disturbance has about a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days.  But computer models have been rather unanimous in developing a tropical depression or storm in the Bay mid-week that will ultimately head toward the Mexican Coast by this weekend.

There appears to be minimal threat of this potential system to Acadiana, but deeper tropical moisture could move into the area by late this weekend into early next week yielding better rain chances locally.

Offshore, moderate easterly winds early this week could freshen toward the end of the week along with building southeasterly swells.

Elsewhere in the tropics, Tropical Storm Humberto could become the first hurricane of the Atlantic season but this system should remain no threat to the U.S.

Meanwhile, the remnants of Gabrielle north of the Caribbean show now signs of tropical organization while moving northward toward Bermuda and then the open Atlantic.  Upper level winds are expected to remain rather hostile for development this week.


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