Sep 4, 2013 11:51 PM by Rob Perillo
TD#7 was upgraded late Wednesday evening to Tropical Storm Gabrielle. The storm with 40mph winds was just south of Puerto Rico and was moving to the NW at 8 mph.
Some slow intensification will be possible after the storm departs the Caribbean Island areas. No changes to current forecast track thinking. No threat to the Gulf.
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Hurricane Hunters found enough of a circulation southeast of Puerto Rico to upgrade the disturbance that the Hurricane Center has been monitoring over the last several days to Tropical Depression #7.
Conditions appear somewhat favorable for slow intensification over the next several days as the system moves northwestward.
TD #7 should become a tropical storm Thursday, if so the name will be "Gabrielle".
After the Caribbean this system is expected to turn more northward and remain an Atlantic system with no threat to the Gulf of Mexico.
Elsewhere in the tropics, a broad tropical wave in the Southern Gulf of Mexico, Yucatan and Bay of Campeche shows no organization as the system drifts slowly westward. Computer models keep this part of the Gulf rather unsettled through the next week or more.
Another area of low pressure over Africa will emerge in the Eastern Atlantic by Friday with development anticipated by long rang computer models.
Activity in the Atlantic Basin has been rather quiet until this point, but the peak of the season has arrived with additional and more active systems anticipated over the next several weeks.
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