Tracking the Tropics

Sep 1, 2011 5:27 PM by Natalie Noah

Possible Threat from the Gulf this Weekend

Immediate concerns for all areas along the Gulf coast this weekend, from the Florida panhandle to the Texas coast stomping all the way to Acadiana's door step. Monitoring the tropical disturbance that shows increased signs of organized showers and thunderstorms. Not quite at tropical depression status yet, but numerous computer models forecast this system developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next 24-48 hours.

Uncertainties remain high about further development and movement, a better idea of the current stats of this activity once hurricane hunters finish investigating later today. At the very least expect torrential rainfall, perhaps coastal flooding, windy conditions, high surf, and rip currents. Coastal Flood Watch for Cameron, Iberia, St. Mary, and Vermilion Parishes and Flash Flood Watch for areas east of Lafayette through the weekend. These are in effect for the anticipation of conditions in the days to come. Threat levels could increase depending on track and intensity. This tropical system could sit in the Gulf of Mexico for days, if no movement over the region by Saturday/Sunday we could have worse weather conditions development as tropical storm or hurricane status would not be far out of reach.

At this rate, rainfall potential 5 to 15 inches north and west of where the system may fall, and 10 to 20+ inches in areas along or east of where the system may fall. Either way, a historical flood event could be possible within the next several days. Get prepared now and be sure to have a plan that keeps you and your family safe during the long Labor Day weekend. Keep it with KATC to get the latest on the tropical disturbance in the Gulf. Click below to get a quick peak at the tropical disturbance given by the NWS in Lake Charles.

Gulf Tropical Disturbance

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