Posted: Sep 1, 2013 4:57 PM by Daniel Phillips
There is no denying it has been an unusually quiet hurricane season so far. Only six named Atlantic storms and none of them have even become hurricanes. Still though there is a disturbance that will be worth keeping an eye on out in the Caribbean.
A storm has started to become a little more organized, and although it still has a long way to go the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 50/50 shot of becoming a tropical system in the next five days.
One or two models have picked up on the disturbance and strengthen it, but for the next few days it will be more wait and see as the models respond to the storm and play catch up. The system is currently surround by dry air which will make rapid development difficult.
Upper level winds are favorable for a system to develop, but the atmosphere may just be to dry. Either way we are officially at the peak of hurricane season, so an increase in activity is certainly possible.
In the mean time the weather across Acadiana will remain incredibly quiet, as the ridge finally starts to break down. A weak frontal boundary could bring in some scattered rainfall for the middle of the work week, but will have a hard time moving out the dry air that's in place.